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Matt Cloud's avatar

If the split was "fake" -- which may be a poor analytical framing choice -- why then the contradiction as between your complaining of more trade and engagement on the one hand (presumably from at least 1980-2016 and again from 2021-2024) while simultaneously complaining of the Trump Administration's attempts to create or exasperate a split (2017-2021)?

Of post-cold war integration across Russia and China, you write:

" ... what was the response of the Americans? More trade and engagement. Fast forward to the 2020s and we continued to ignore the growing Sino-Russian threat. Most distressing was the Trump Administration’s strategy of looking for “splits” within the camp of our adversaries."

This is completely contradictory (one none too exceptional in this paper). The Trump Admin represented a unique break in US policy as regards a reversal at one degree or another of previous modes of engagement with China, premised on the goals of both freeing America from Chinese dependence and furthering any split that may exist as between Russia and China (and India). Why then is that a point of criticism with you, since you also criticize the previous 40-year policy stance as well, a largely bi-partisan one, which has resumed not by the way since Trump left office in measures at least (albeit some of the Trump tariffs remain in place, interestingly).

So which is it? You criticize both U.S. engagement towards integration as well as U.S. attempts to exploit differences across possible adversarial blocs and develop U.S. industrial independence.

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